Mls · resolved market
Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae91af46ff255154e344528bdd7ae389b14a24baafc6170ca1061301553bf04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte FCof New York City FC, Charlotte FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed New York City FC | 23c | 1,318$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.53 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte FC | 80c | 755.13$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Charlotte FC | 72c | 528.43$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Charlotte FC | 70c | 523.42$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York City FC | 28c | 124.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed New York City FC | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Charlotte FC | 78c | 83.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Charlotte FC | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Charlotte FC | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Charlotte FC | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Charlotte FC | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Charlotte FC | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)this page
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.