TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x813a…b67fbacked Over50c20,282$10,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,227.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c7,530$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.183,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c6,823$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479.583243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over51c3,514$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c3,078$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over55c2,364$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.6419044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c2,170$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0103658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c1,983$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under45c1,577$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under52c1,475$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.7128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c1,150$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55048344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c799.9$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c772.83$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4858043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over31c636.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.285042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over54c586.96$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c531.63$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under48c413.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9922263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2373641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…28d0backed Under45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under45c219.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff84…0ea9backed Under45c219$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under46c217.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b92…afc2backed Over55c214.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ec…5306backed Over55c214.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3d…b7bfbacked Over55c212.28$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8871…059fbacked Under45c211$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc71…b45bbacked Under50c204.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c203.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3a…cf18backed Over55c200.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x916b…8347backed Over55c200.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9070249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf01…92fabacked Under50c199.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e74…c002backed Under50c197.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d8…15a2backed Under45c196$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae5…69d1backed Under50c194.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e2…e76ebacked Under45c194$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b9…b250backed Under50c193.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd988…e846backed Under45c193$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb34d…5f71backed Under50c192.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…9eebbacked Over55c190.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e13…055dbacked Under50c190.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e8…58ecbacked Under50c187.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17df…f015backed Under50c184.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741a…ae6bbacked Under50c182.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ae…d12ebacked Under50c180.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4078…20e7backed Under50c179.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc7c…6004backed Under50c177.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x638e…5138backed Under50c176.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c170.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under54c170$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c169.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2728721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6ca…cbddbacked Under50c168.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over18c111.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0531158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over18c98.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0629460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under51c98.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over37c97.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.678971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under47c97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.514447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over18c92.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8820554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over53c89.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.731,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c82.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over54c76.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.346357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Over55c72.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under53c71.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.249452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over42c69.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed Under56c57.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under51c49.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under45c48.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.832927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under51c45.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under46c43.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under51c39.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over54c36.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under80c33.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.872931%9 W · 20 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under71c32.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over40c32.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under51c29.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3414560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d4…125ebacked Over53c27.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.