Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1d141b084803da5deac8c06505c3ca1af477c79e08ec0979e4d9b069a13e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,725$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 21c | 999$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Over | 41c | 495.37$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 76c | 324.22$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 241.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 41c | 193.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Over | 33c | 186.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 162.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 62c | 159.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Under | 62c | 127.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Under | 62c | 127.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Under | 62c | 121.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Under | 59c | 120.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 62c | 101.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 58c | 100.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 98.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…c738backed Under | 70c | 98.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 33c | 89.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 58c | 73.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 27c | 71.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…f517backed Over | 32c | 59.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Over | 36c | 51.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Under | 69c | 40.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 36.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 67c | 35.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.