Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf224a8d9f454adbfcfff66e6b1268d9d8d35a59c87cd0f5dcc9a67bdb25a5eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,321 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 1c | 4,008$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,798$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 38c | 476.32$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 62c | 338.19$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 7c | 291.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…125cbacked Over | 54c | 282.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Under | 38c | 174.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Under | 38c | 164.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 137.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 110.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 37c | 104.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 55c | 95.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 80.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Over | 63c | 65.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 63c | 63.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Under | 42c | 39.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 59c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Over | 62c | 32.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed Under | 47c | 32.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 77c | 31.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Over | 63c | 30.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Over | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…ee07backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.