Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63141e3892c5caf2e7dccae0c68067a3d9eb54efa5e7978eb86389f1d3acc3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunnan Yukun FCof Henan FC, Yunnan Yukun FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Henan FC | 1c | 1,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Henan FC | 34c | 937.52$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 898.98$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…88f7backed Henan FC | 33c | 557$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…0fa8backed Henan FC | 33c | 437$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 414.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…c961backed Henan FC | 33c | 364$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…5219backed Henan FC | 33c | 331$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 64c | 330$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…7877backed Henan FC | 33c | 323$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…fafebacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 286$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8db1backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 282$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…5341backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 279$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…afedbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 279$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…4142backed Henan FC | 33c | 267$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…d401backed Henan FC | 33c | 265$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…b986backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 259$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…422cbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 246$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc6…e2b0backed Henan FC | 33c | 245$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…1506backed Henan FC | 33c | 242$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…314abacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 237$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…5cabbacked Henan FC | 33c | 232$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…2beebacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 229$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…d88ebacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 228$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…eb0fbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 223$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…32a7backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 196$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…b988backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 177$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…3433backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 174$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…f3cfbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 67c | 168$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Henan FC | 37c | 147.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Henan FC | 33c | 144.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Henan FC | 33c | 138.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Henan FC | 33c | 131.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Henan FC | 32c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Henan FC | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Henan FC | 34c | 83.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Henan FC | 22c | 67.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Henan FC | 33c | 66.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Henan FC | 23c | 59.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Henan FC | 37c | 34.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Henan FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 60c | 24.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 72c | 22.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)this page
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.