Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd8eea4ef12c458b7140ea8d54e05b05c193071dd90d5ebbc8220e0ac265169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,919 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb66…ba4dbacked No | 40c | 3,445$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…cd3dbacked No | 40c | 3,004$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…40ddbacked Yes | 60c | 2,273$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…a83abacked Yes | 60c | 2,153$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…8ca0backed Yes | 60c | 2,023$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 521.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 55c | 455.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 254.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 62c | 161.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 133.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 103.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 56c | 89.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 43c | 77.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 61c | 70.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 56c | 44.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.