TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,827 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under48c100,054$48,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,897.7111955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c40,211$20,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,909.766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c27,396$14,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,173.941,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c15,394$7,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,935.71,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c14,318$6,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c12,387$6,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,378.941,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.951,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c6,643$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.372,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c6,312$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over52c5,788$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c5,649$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c5,645$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c5,105$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.41,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under49c4,916$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.991,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c3,947$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,857$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba7…5336backed Under49c2,946$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246e…e74abacked Under49c2,885$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f5…da69backed Over51c2,854$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…06fabacked Over51c2,768$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6140…36e6backed Over51c2,685$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c25…ee9bbacked Over51c2,681$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6954…b347backed Over51c2,621$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd674…e55cbacked Over51c2,609$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b9…37d6backed Under49c2,529$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7e2ebacked Under49c2,517$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a8…97a1backed Under49c2,504$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c0…a57cbacked Under49c2,441$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under48c2,415$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.698447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under51c2,184$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under47c2,150$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.4912850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under48c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.0652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7817246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,892$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.653,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under48c1,625$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.865341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under49c1,375$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1918743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c1,282$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.021,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over53c1,075$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.7526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c850$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c828.85$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c814.38$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c746.22$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.5587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35716550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under41c632.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…49e4backed Under47c573.74$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8339552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c508.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.671,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over6c500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c466$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3214145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under48c451$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.524351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Under48c446$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.924240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over52c442.31$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under48c425$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under48c412.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c394.4$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c386.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over57c368.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c362.56$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under59c339.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1522447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over52c336.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9813554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under66c272.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c250.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c237.05$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c231.85$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.242,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1473…42c2backed Under49c223.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Over52c221$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.922564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over51c217.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over39c210.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c204.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb888…f103backed Over53c195.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb557…7f28backed Over53c193.79$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under54c186$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Over53c183.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.131926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over52c170.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c164.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.061,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under49c163.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8822154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c160.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.011,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5355…db3dbacked Under49c157.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over20c155$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over59c153.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.39845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…8150backed Under50c145.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…40b4backed Under49c145$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under38c127.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Under47c122.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.175054%27 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c121.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.232,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c121$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under48c121$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9229352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Under48c121$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.924452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under48c113.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under49c110.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.