NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6cdaa58ae335284d88cdc854a02724aef24f261504a8b26773ab631528454c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under | 48c | 100,054$48,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,897.71 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 40,211$20,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,909.7 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 27,396$14,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,173.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 15,394$7,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,935.7 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 14,318$6,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 12,387$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,378.94 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 6,643$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.37 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 6,312$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 52c | 5,788$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 5,649$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 5,645$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 5,105$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.4 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 49c | 4,916$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 3,947$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,857$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…5336backed Under | 49c | 2,946$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246e…e74abacked Under | 49c | 2,885$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…da69backed Over | 51c | 2,854$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…06fabacked Over | 51c | 2,768$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…36e6backed Over | 51c | 2,685$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…ee9bbacked Over | 51c | 2,681$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…b347backed Over | 51c | 2,621$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd674…e55cbacked Over | 51c | 2,609$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b9…37d6backed Under | 49c | 2,529$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7e2ebacked Under | 49c | 2,517$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a8…97a1backed Under | 49c | 2,504$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c0…a57cbacked Under | 49c | 2,441$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 48c | 2,415$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.69 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 51c | 2,184$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.9 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 47c | 2,150$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.49 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.06 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,892$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.86 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 49c | 1,375$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.19 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 1,282$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.02 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.75 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 828.85$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.71 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 814.38$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 746.22$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.55 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 632.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Under | 47c | 573.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 508.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 48c | 466$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 48c | 451$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Under | 48c | 446$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 51c | 394.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 386.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 362.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 52c | 336.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 250.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 237.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 231.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…42c2backed Under | 49c | 223.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Over | 52c | 221$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 51c | 217.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 39c | 210.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 204.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Over | 53c | 195.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Over | 53c | 193.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Over | 53c | 183.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 52c | 170.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 164.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 49c | 163.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 160.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…db3dbacked Under | 49c | 157.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 20c | 155$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 59c | 153.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…8150backed Under | 50c | 145.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…40b4backed Under | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 38c | 127.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Under | 47c | 122.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 121.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 48c | 113.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 110.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. BullsBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.