NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b18f67c5b89985f8f29207f55730904a2c84d03b0e54e3e6e33473885080c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,514 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Bulls | 51c | 172,525$88,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,923.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 156,525$76,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,203.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 51c | 129,150$65,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,283.71 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 87,642$42,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,539.28 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bulls | 52c | 83,364$43,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,014.7 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 35,892$17,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,487.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 29,288$14,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies | 51c | 24,395$12,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,441.44 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 23,389$11,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,350.74 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 13,233$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls | 49c | 13,106$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.6 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 12,525$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,012 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Grizzlies | 49c | 11,468$5,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.13 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 49c | 11,259$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Grizzlies | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 51c | 9,006$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 8,214$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.72 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Grizzlies | 49c | 7,760$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.4 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 7,623$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.87 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 51c | 7,128$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,720$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.6 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bulls | 54c | 6,296$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.3 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 51c | 6,055$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 50c | 5,964$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.99 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,959$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,204$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Bulls | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 51c | 4,888$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,512$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.02 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,169$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,710$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,042$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Bulls | 52c | 2,790$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.2 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 50c | 2,710$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,669$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.68 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,473$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bulls | 51c | 2,072$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.27 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Bulls | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.98 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 47c | 1,896$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Bulls | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,668$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,667$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.99 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,667$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.4 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bulls | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,439$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.1 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.21 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,269$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,126$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.55 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Bulls | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 52c | 1,037$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Bulls | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 868.99$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 816.81$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.14 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 811.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Bulls | 53c | 809.52$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.16 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Bulls | 53c | 757.8$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.85 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 52c | 708$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Bulls | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 535.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Bulls | 53c | 526.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 502.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Bulls | 53c | 479.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Bulls | 53c | 388$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Bulls | 52c | 380.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Bulls | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 359.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bulls | 50c | 351.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Bulls | 53c | 297.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Bulls | 53c | 289.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…c7febacked Grizzlies | 49c | 260.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Bulls | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bulls | 52c | 234.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 53c | 233.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 218.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Bulls | 52c | 211.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Grizzlies | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…e826backed Grizzlies | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Bulls | 52c | 202.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…362fbacked Bulls | 52c | 199.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Grizzlies | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bulls | 50c | 197.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Bulls | 53c | 188.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 176.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 48c | 176.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Bulls | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. BullsBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.