NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x302980c70922351c885c9b4ab26f45aa459a05b066fc48076915d563e587125e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Bulls, Grizzlies
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $589,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,381 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls	49c	485,921$237,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248,496.68	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies	51c	250,000$127,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,500	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies	51c	137,680$70,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,477.3	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies	51c	37,602$19,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,177.13	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Grizzlies	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,600	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies	52c	29,901$15,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,548.38	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Bulls	48c	25,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,000	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	51c	9,308$4,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,766.95	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	52c	7,127$3,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,672.95	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bulls	48c	6,122$2,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,183.68	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Grizzlies	51c	5,471$2,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,790.21	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls	49c	5,467$2,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,788.17	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Grizzlies	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies	53c	3,979$2,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies	51c	3,400$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Grizzlies	51c	3,333$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.83	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies	52c	2,813$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.88	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Grizzlies	52c	2,175$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.06	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls	48c	1,877$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.03	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies	52c	1,785$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.98	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls	50c	1,599$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.87	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls	48c	1,317$632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.84	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls	47c	1,291$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.62	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Bulls	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Bulls	47c	1,157$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.41	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Grizzlies	49c	1,010$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.75	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Grizzlies	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Grizzlies	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Grizzlies	58c	991.28$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.89	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies	46c	985.01$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.05	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Grizzlies	53c	969.81$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Grizzlies	53c	853$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.09	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls	48c	800$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls	47c	780.21$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.51	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls	50c	654.84$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.84	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Bulls	47c	600$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bulls	48c	564.19$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.38	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls	48c	542.33$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.01	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Grizzlies	52c	528.85$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls	47c	504$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.12	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Bulls	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…5a75backed Grizzlies	52c	406.3$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.27	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Bulls	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	161	48.4%78 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Grizzlies	51c	399.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	51c	399.82$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.91	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies	56c	392.86$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Grizzlies	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies	54c	353.37$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.69	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls	46c	350.6$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.85	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Bulls	49c	327$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.77	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Grizzlies	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls	48c	290.79$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.21	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Bulls	48c	244.89$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.34	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Bulls	48c	227.27$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.18	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f36…81b7backed Grizzlies	52c	222.13$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Grizzlies	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Grizzlies	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies	52c	199.98$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.99	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Grizzlies	53c	188.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Bulls	47c	184.24$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.57	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Grizzlies	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Bulls	48c	159.18$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.77	126	50%63 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Grizzlies	53c	158$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.74	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Bulls	63c	156.66$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.08	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Bulls	48c	143.59$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.67	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc455…8640backed Bulls	48c	138.2$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.86	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…9b2bbacked Bulls	48c	135.33$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.37	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bulls	62c	132.64$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.65	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bulls	48c	132.28$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.79	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Bulls	48c	132.27$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.78	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Bulls	76c	132.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.69	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bulls	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…b015backed Grizzlies	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Grizzlies	54c	98.76$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.33	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls	48c	96.15$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Bulls	48c	92.38$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ced…97e5backed Grizzlies	56c	91.81$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Grizzlies	52c	89.75$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.79	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Grizzlies	53c	89.35$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.16	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies	52c	89.12$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.15	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies	42c	88.93$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Grizzlies	53c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bulls	67c	77.83$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls	48c	77.31$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Grizzlies	53c	76.77$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.69	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Bulls	48c	72.48$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	236	55.5%131 W · 105 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Grizzlies	49c	71.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls	48c	65.65$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.14	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Bulls	48c	65.09$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.85	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Grizzlies	53c	61.02$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Bulls	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62a…8abebacked Grizzlies	52c	59.13$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…316abacked Bulls	48c	59.02$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.69	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Bulls	48c	51.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.81	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Bulls	50c	51$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x851d…a743backed Grizzlies	53c	50.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bulls (-7.5)this page
1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
Grizzlies vs. BullsBulls won
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bulls (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event