NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16620b7ae416abb0caf3d0b29d6529f9aa350b6b43238de71d799a4ad2528c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,984 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 4,547$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,133$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 2,088$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 2,001$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.39 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Under | 57c | 929.76$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Over | 5c | 915$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 29c | 909.63$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.02 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 825$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 366.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 301$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 6c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 33c | 291.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 277.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…3953backed Under | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 272.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 40c | 181.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 34c | 179.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 56c | 156.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 55c | 150.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 67c | 149.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 60c | 143.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 38c | 114$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 44c | 103.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 35c | 96.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 60c | 94.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 57c | 88.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 31c | 86.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 44c | 86.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 85.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 31c | 81.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 65c | 80.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 70.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 52.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Over | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 49.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 42c | 45.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 43c | 35.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 55c | 35.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 34.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 33.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 57c | 31.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…99a9backed Over | 40c | 29.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 27.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…c1eebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…cdccbacked Under | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. BullsBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.