NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348a161ccd47644a9648f654a1ac4360046e492b18ae05dfd901069b06d78b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e0c…4a87backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…fc96backed Under | 45c | 3,636$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,265$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,190$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,116$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,036$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 49c | 953$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.97 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 870.3$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Over | 57c | 508.32$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 388$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 58c | 383.79$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 56c | 241.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 55c | 200.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…188cbacked Under | 45c | 179$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Under | 43c | 174.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…fabfbacked Under | 43c | 173$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…4a38backed Under | 45c | 172$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Under | 43c | 169.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Under | 43c | 165.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 158.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…2285backed Under | 44c | 157$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae9…4e2bbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…1a9fbacked Under | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…4596backed Over | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 114.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…74c0backed Over | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4f…07dcbacked Over | 56c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 71.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…df19backed Over | 57c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 65.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…75e3backed Over | 57c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 61.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…e4ddbacked Over | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…b734backed Over | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 44c | 59.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…8a7dbacked Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under | 46c | 56.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…810cbacked Over | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 55.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…7df6backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 59c | 50.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…af2cbacked Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Under | 48c | 41.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…b925backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff15…3e85backed Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6689backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…52b1backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…617fbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 46c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 53c | 34.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…abb3backed Over | 55c | 33.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb415…93f9backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 46c | 30.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 24.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…a8b0backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 21.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…2029backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…e341backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. BullsBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.