South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498f1789d580276f97591bda4fb9d935128f7e7737f1248f2ed0cdaf8c4ce21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x837c…5771backed Over | 45c | 4,462$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,614$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.04 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.08 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 2,495$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.48 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 1,995$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.3 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 956.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.51 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 29c | 352.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 12c | 330$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 40c | 296$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 34c | 224.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Under | 46c | 216.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 10c | 214.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 208.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 79c | 152$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 39c | 129.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 47c | 106.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Under | 59c | 105.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 97.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 46c | 87.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 84.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 42c | 84.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…5ad2backed Under | 52c | 76.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…229cbacked Under | 31c | 64.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…5cb1backed Under | 55c | 55.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Over | 41c | 54.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Over | 41c | 50.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 47c | 39.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 56c | 37.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed Under | 56c | 27.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…6bcabacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 65c | 23.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 62c | 23.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 62c | 22.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Under | 54c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 58c | 20.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 57c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 66c | 19.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Under | 67c | 16.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CD Huachipato (-1.5)Carabobo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.