Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d24eece6999ac4b693f744e2efbbd6bc94bc39316406e6672acff934ab2908a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 19c | 1,096$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 891.18$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 887.61$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 67c | 811.41$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 67c | 716.37$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 76c | 696.79$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 458.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 185.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Yes | 69c | 165.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 158.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 66c | 151.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 71c | 140.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 117.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 34c | 117.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 67c | 116.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed No | 35c | 80.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed No | 34c | 66.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 35c | 63.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 43.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Yes | 67c | 39.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 67c | 33.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…80bfbacked Yes | 78c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Yes | 65c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Yes | 65c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Yes | 65c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Yes | 65c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 71c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.