TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over44c29,646$12,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,688.033650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under28c5,350$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c4,510$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.115,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c4,183$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.911,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under51c2,746$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.451968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c2,022$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.011,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c1,767$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.542,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89618353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c1,497$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.582,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67212050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c1,139$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.962,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under56c847.59$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.4230464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over48c768.73$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.049344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39213154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c665.55$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.041,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33617247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under56c591.77$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0916856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c528.12$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.441,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under57c459.96$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1717757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c440.77$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0993446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c428.58$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1640550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22421152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22414453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over72c396.3$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.852070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under37c327.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.731,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16815454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716735.8%24 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16816152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over50c296.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6912634.1%43 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under57c294.73$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under54c280$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c277$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.421,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over43c267.44$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.444544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.615050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over43c244.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3818644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over49c240.86$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c230$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8712074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275246.2%24 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over65c207.69$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.696692.4%61 W · 5 L+17.8wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+44.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under33c185.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.511839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over70c183.42$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2710843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004161%25 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c168.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.311,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under13c165.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34822.9%11 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c156$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3618256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under56c156$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3614953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.515035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under56c149.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.529458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fb…2de9backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.416154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over39c127.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0730049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over41c126.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5512741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Under56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over54c124.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3839561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.954528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under61c111.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813563.7%86 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over73c103.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9647155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over48c102.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.637562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5934050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under25c89.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.493647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over65c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.552733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c71.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.261,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1542351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over41c63.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.434571.1%32 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over63c61.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1434560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over65c48.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.237559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under66c48.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.826439.1%25 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under61c47.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.710547.6%50 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Under56c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked Over49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under58c46.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.215455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe856…9f78backed Under66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.555050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb455…a58abacked Over44c43.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over42c42.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8411543.5%50 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under52c36.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.174057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Over41c35.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.842972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under56c35.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.697263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over41c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.865259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over69c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.210245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.