Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174f9ed5852ed4a833d91426ae71cecb0cc7c490731ef49f7c0b820114b90cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Zhiye FCof Zhejiang Zhiye FC, Shandong Taishan FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 32c | 1,687$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.35 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 18c | 743.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.67 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 8c | 312.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 14c | 222.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 75c | 178.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 18c | 102.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Shandong Taishan FC | 71c | 76.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Taishan FC | 40c | 64.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shandong Taishan FC | 20c | 63.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Taishan FC | 78c | 57.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…db64backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shandong Taishan FC | 72c | 23.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Shandong Taishan FC | 70c | 17.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Shandong Taishan FC | 78c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.