Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2931b5e77f25b6ed814f182708a52b04619d1eac8f7a185dceab56a390099345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 8,019$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.32 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 47c | 7,894$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 5,479$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 4,763$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.85 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 3,879$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.74 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 1,069$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.01 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 836.41$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 39c | 620.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Under | 72c | 468.26$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 74c | 459.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.39 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 79c | 430.37$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 35c | 417.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 66c | 376.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 38c | 316.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 54c | 254.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 21c | 245.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 37c | 236.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 37c | 214.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 199.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 18c | 199.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 20c | 176.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 24c | 173.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 27c | 173.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 169.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 45c | 160.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Over | 13c | 135.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 134$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 21c | 110.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 108.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Under | 44c | 96.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 79.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 73.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 33c | 60.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Over | 51c | 52.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Over | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 31c | 40.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 36c | 37.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Over | 32c | 35.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 34.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 76c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…f7cdbacked Over | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 60c | 21.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 59c | 20.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 19.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.