Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391e69799b4f67b2fc5d2baf4b7b4f760ec2ca3f1b1070991e692eeea20be2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 9,503$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.55 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 4,081$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.8 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 2,377$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 74c | 904.5$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Over | 67c | 589.07$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 64c | 478.04$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 33c | 460$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 36c | 459.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 61c | 401.64$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 75c | 401.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 355.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 64c | 313$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 58c | 306.06$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 36c | 284.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 66c | 275.17$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 70c | 178.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 104.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 68c | 63.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 58.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 54.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 53.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 42.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 37.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 29.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Over | 66c | 26.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 66c | 21.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 73c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 65c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 65c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.