Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3f758a7462dd9d306f09a572e48008aab6933885cff5820d4ca9ea2ec5daaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,785 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,715$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 35c | 1,249$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Yes | 56c | 399$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Yes | 55c | 378.35$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 268.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 242.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Yes | 58c | 135.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed No | 45c | 131.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked No | 45c | 124.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed No | 45c | 121.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 72.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 59.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 57c | 53.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 46.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 43.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 33.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 45c | 29.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 42c | 28.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 56c | 27.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 56c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.