Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbdfc6540cc53b0a53c96abd4fab908d24bcf2ad7017a6199f71926cf08ae70d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,894$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.32 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 1,622$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 1,334$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 27c | 1,089$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 890.41$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 36c | 806.74$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 74c | 351.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 26c | 328.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 33c | 301.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 34c | 296.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 292.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 35c | 286.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 255$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 34c | 243.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 70.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 47.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 72c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 29c | 46.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 33c | 42.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 40.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 44c | 40.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 71c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 71c | 17.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.