Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcacca1f14ca3aff6c5dca775c3a9505e4279c3ad1c16542100dd0594680b861c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 52c | 269,999$139,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,487.27 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 49c | 126,990$61,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,695.41 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 49c | 62,096$30,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,427.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 14,954$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.61 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 13,914$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.63 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 47c | 13,569$6,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.45 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 64c | 11,075$7,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.97 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 71c | 11,000$7,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,802.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 28c | 8,980$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 8,828$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.98 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 6,790$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Yes | 38c | 6,032$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 5,827$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.66 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 5,317$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.82 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 28c | 4,286$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,024$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 3,708$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.92 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 41c | 3,398$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.72 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 47c | 3,251$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.97 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 2,597$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.64 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 37c | 2,438$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 39c | 2,199$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 63c | 1,764$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.2 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Yes | 51c | 1,706$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 34c | 1,614$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.56 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 38c | 1,461$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 1,457$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.92 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.86 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,159$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 1,137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.16 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes | 49c | 967.69$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 10c | 943.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked No | 45c | 937.84$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 49c | 933.53$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.43 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 28c | 931.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.45 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 845.83$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 33c | 753.02$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 51c | 738.6$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 3c | 648.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Yes | 49c | 629.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 23c | 588.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 40c | 576.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 63c | 526.53$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 48c | 476.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked Yes | 27c | 475$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 52c | 465.01$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 63c | 456.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 450$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 448.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 54c | 413.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 413.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 410.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 51c | 405.91$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 397$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.84 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 52c | 386.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Yes | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 344.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 341.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 65c | 333.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 302.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 300.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 297$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Yes | 48c | 291.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 53c | 290.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Yes | 37c | 266.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked No | 64c | 249.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 17c | 244$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 44c | 237.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 233.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.