Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35ede31ee1b422e2f37994576e4ce2acf863e7af7c6077a3bd7b094fa6e7cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $852,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $852,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 38c | 633,268$240,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,604.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 155,834$96,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,203.17 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 62c | 138,000$85,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,439.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 65c | 46,433$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,432.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 44,662$29,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,387.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 39,049$24,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,849.43 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 59c | 22,362$13,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,168.47 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 21,381$13,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,588.42 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 62c | 21,047$13,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,998.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 12,079$7,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.3 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 12,061$7,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Yes | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 61c | 11,025$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 11,000$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 37c | 8,082$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.09 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 8,072$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.37 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 6,776$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.88 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 6,670$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.74 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 6,220$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.48 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 36c | 5,395$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.25 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 62c | 4,865$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.84 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 62c | 4,800$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 62c | 4,644$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.47 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 63c | 4,000$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.33 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 3,600$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.78 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 3,589$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.9 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 63c | 2,718$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.55 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 62c | 2,650$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,598$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 62c | 2,458$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 62c | 2,445$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 62c | 1,827$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.26 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 62c | 1,815$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,750$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.94 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 62c | 1,646$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 62c | 1,610$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 39c | 1,550$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 62c | 1,493$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 1,435$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.28 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 58c | 1,431$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 1,266$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 40c | 1,231$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 64c | 1,117$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,089$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 1,059$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 1,050$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.68 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 62c | 1,040$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 62c | 1,040$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 62c | 1,040$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…99adbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Yes | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 980.25$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 913.59$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 856.3$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.51 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 62c | 830.36$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.54 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 65c | 693.95$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes | 36c | 675.67$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 39c | 672.51$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 62c | 640$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 63c | 624$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 62c | 624$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed No | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 572$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 78c | 564$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 62c | 560$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 62c | 555.76$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.