Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f2f39d1b9886be4040c66f858d86fac835480e23efda64b38257cc0b89d64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 4,709$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.59 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 73c | 3,262$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 13c | 2,975$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 76c | 2,914$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 75c | 2,368$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 24c | 1,713$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,559$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.89 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,400$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 1,382$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 73c | 1,188$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.62 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 1,117$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 24c | 1,114$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 75c | 1,012$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 25c | 869.85$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 729.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 701.38$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 607.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 595.84$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 74c | 593.39$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 78c | 564.47$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 505.69$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 75c | 496.34$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 25c | 489.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 480.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 455.02$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 75c | 414$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 14c | 305.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 76c | 299.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 293.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 266$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 242.36$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 227.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 74c | 227.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 212.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 208.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 25c | 200.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…2011backed Yes | 26c | 151.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 150.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Yes | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 145.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 24c | 139.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…f86ebacked Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…1df8backed No | 77c | 100.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3962backed Yes | 25c | 73.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 24c | 62.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…78a6backed Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 55.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 26c | 50.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 48.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 24c | 48.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 46.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 23c | 43.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 71c | 41.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…6bb5backed No | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 80c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 34.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 75c | 25.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…7e5cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.