TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$748,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$752,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed 76ers45c382,850$172,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,155.2787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Rockets55c350,000$192,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,50072648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Rockets55c103,897$57,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,573.6132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Rockets49c81,853$40,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,403.8436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers46c26,654$12,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,230.831,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed 76ers51c26,445$13,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,486.951833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers50c22,588$11,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,336.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed 76ers44c18,111$7,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,968.915947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…8c4bbacked 76ers43c10,644$4,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,576.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Rockets54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.9749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Rockets55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.994548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc3…b9a1backed 76ers44c7,434$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Rockets57c6,836$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.697447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets63c6,734$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.923,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers49c6,705$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.582,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets55c6,149$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets55c5,757$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Rockets79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9411757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets53c4,902$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed 76ers6c4,654$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1920837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets55c3,892$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.479549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers44c3,044$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.8643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets54c2,920$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets70c2,883$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x069c…d519backed 76ers51c2,353$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Rockets55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked 76ers44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked 76ers43c1,955$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Rockets57c1,948$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.818953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers44c1,849$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked 76ers53c1,846$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.66543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked 76ers49c1,640$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.535650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Rockets54c1,233$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.2964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers44c1,206$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5518343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed 76ers49c1,195$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed 76ers7c1,161$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked 76ers45c1,117$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8412548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked 76ers52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5725427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Rockets56c1,082$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Rockets51c1,052$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.47642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers47c1,036$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.0337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed 76ers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed 76ers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed 76ers47c973.72$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46065349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers21c973.09$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockets54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked 76ers50c819.2$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers42c811.93$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.181,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed 76ers44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Rockets65c753.72$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.244652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers43c732.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers35c727.52$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.391,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers42c722.77$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…60b9backed Rockets56c695.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.992934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers42c688.26$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rockets57c683.65$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed 76ers44c641.78$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3817850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets68c633.8$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed 76ers50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Rockets57c577.68$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked 76ers42c535.08$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked 76ers18c500$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed 76ers46c493.41$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.017237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Rockets55c424.23$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.919348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked 76ers46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5214445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Rockets48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9118643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed 76ers43c391.28$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed 76ers23c390.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.116242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed 76ers50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1946046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 76ers5c366$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Rockets57c360.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Rockets47c359.87$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Rockets55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2236248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Rockets57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.984860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked 76ers46c332.79$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.086960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed 76ers42c287.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Rockets77c279.56$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed 76ers42c274.37$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Rockets57c226.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.431,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed 76ers46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7610457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked 76ers7c206.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.788134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 76ers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked 76ers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed 76ers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed 76ers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked 76ers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Rockets48c189.88$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Rockets55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…7696backed 76ers6c173.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Rockets57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4915055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers6c169.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed 76ers46c160.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8929352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed 76ers8c159.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4629449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Rockets47c157.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.