TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers40c30,708$12,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,256.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rockets61c24,033$14,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,384.3936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers39c21,517$8,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.6466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Rockets52c17,749$9,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,446.4836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets60c16,635$9,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,654.1120758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets61c16,010$9,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,243.8442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers39c11,250$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked 76ers48c11,178$5,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,365.433941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers42c11,063$4,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,604.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers49c10,809$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,296.491,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Rockets60c6,539$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.59357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Rockets61c4,883$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.378953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Rockets61c3,776$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.4514045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Rockets52c3,735$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.9810252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers40c3,405$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.123,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets51c3,315$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked 76ers46c3,100$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.112828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed 76ers44c3,047$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets55c2,835$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers43c2,800$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.741,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed 76ers41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers39c2,010$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Rockets5c1,756$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.2320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers40c1,446$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.41,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Rockets60c1,445$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.0310255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed 76ers39c1,335$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.573948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Rockets61c1,244$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.112257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Rockets56c1,217$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.4821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets53c1,206$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.672,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers48c1,177$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked 76ers45c1,150$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.55650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers40c1,109$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.041,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked 76ers44c1,072$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Rockets51c1,070$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.4824247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets74c1,044$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked 76ers47c1,001$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.471216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-75.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed 76ers48c999.92$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9614946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked 76ers48c972.88$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.9814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked 76ers48c913.57$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.511040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Rockets61c874.81$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.1826048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Rockets59c831.13$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.326058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed 76ers44c795.44$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed Rockets61c781.47$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.772665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed 76ers48c724.86$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 76ers41c689.41$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.911,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Rockets61c628.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3122349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked 76ers48c628.13$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba4b…cc06backed 76ers49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.821650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Rockets52c557.6$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Rockets22c520$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rockets29c490.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Rockets52c485.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Rockets52c485.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0910045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed 76ers49c482.27$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3113748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed 76ers41c477.47$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 76ers35c474.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8220537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed 76ers46c458.66$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9320146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers41c397.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets59c381.96$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Rockets52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.320346.3%94 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked 76ers48c366.31$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.836150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Rockets61c323.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked 76ers42c311.44$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Rockets62c311.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.398354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed 76ers48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked 76ers46c297.05$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked 76ers49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.413354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0289…8eddbacked 76ers49c281.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb1…28eabacked Rockets52c276.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Rockets38c267$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed 76ers48c262.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Rockets39c242$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked 76ers40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.412845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers40c235.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.092,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Rockets28c232$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7145544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed 76ers45c213.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.729245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed 76ers46c209.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.787051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Rockets60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8033360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Rockets54c198.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.452842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers46c193.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed 76ers40c189.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8713950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Rockets52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.657250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Rockets52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Rockets52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…4ce9backed 76ers43c179.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.261643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed 76ers49c176.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2824849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers46c174.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb244…9b39backed Rockets58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers41c167.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.381,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Rockets51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.526345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed 76ers44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x323c…2fa4backed Rockets52c149.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.728154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Rockets54c144.36$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.110447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Rockets33c142$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Rockets51c138.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.862147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed 76ers48c116.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Rockets32c114.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.726639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.