NBA · resolved market
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf784084826f55b860eea5ce5dfb9c06e97e0d531f897ae9a96ba8bccba1897b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 60c | 1,071$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.03 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…9b39backed Yes | 40c | 975.53$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 60c | 450.87$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 99 | 75.8%75 W · 24 L | +16.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 59c | 423.34$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes | 38c | 253.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed Yes | 40c | 247.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…d289backed Yes | 38c | 236.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 60c | 179.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed No | 62c | 34.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…bcbabacked No | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5this page
- 76ers vs. RocketsRockets won
- 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.