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NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c49,271$24,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,733.291,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c29,351$14,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,825.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c25,647$12,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,776.821,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c25,213$12,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,764.5632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c20,825$10,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,204.3615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,588$5,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.8549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c9,905$5,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,332.491,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c9,723$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.974548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c5,761$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.717451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,898$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c3,113$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under50c2,794$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.812850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c2,786$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,545$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.421,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Over49c2,473$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.753571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over50c2,063$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c1,995$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.5631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c1,970$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c1,935$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.461,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c1,838$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.5176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over48c1,220$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over48c1,161$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.191,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over48c1,152$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over48c1,132$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over48c1,084$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c1,074$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.161,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over49c1,065$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under50c1,060$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.361,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over49c1,006$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9310252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c996.28$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0617637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over49c979.09$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.767848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0118748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…0820backed Under49c731.16$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6927746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under49c586.49$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1110256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over50c560.32$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.169845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Over48c560.28$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.934544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c524.81$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.011,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under49c494.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2418343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over50c485.23$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.623732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under78c484.34$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5519937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over46c440.36$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.911681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c395.8$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c395.52$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under52c382.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7811833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c382.21$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c368$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under50c352.11$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under12c326.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9511639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under50c320.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0314445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c317.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…689dbacked Over49c300.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15644252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55c0…5c8dbacked Under52c299.13$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under51c291.59$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.888458.3%49 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c289.52$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.591,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c286.69$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under50c281.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c276.5$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0687…02e4backed Under52c258.34$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c257.47$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c255$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over11c241.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c236$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under42c230.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0710840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Over51c202.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.531735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c199.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7335744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9711759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9718552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Over13c192.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under50c192.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0333748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c184.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8313148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under49c175.58$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5520146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under47c151.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c146.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over51c145.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2529352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under80c139.34$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c135.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over17c132.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over51c126.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7511949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…fb35backed Over21c124.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.621145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under49c118.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5419950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under49c118.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.545843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over50c117.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under52c115.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7910657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over49c110.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2920237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0b…3c12backed Under80c109.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under24c107.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over35c107.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.