TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers48c64,910$31,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,156.6143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets52c55,000$28,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,40060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed 76ers48c39,577$19,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,177.1687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets51c37,757$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,507.031,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets52c17,776$9,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,532.4874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…7314backed Rockets52c14,824$7,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets52c14,467$7,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,966.071,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked 76ers48c13,973$6,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,707.023941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers48c11,250$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets52c10,683$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.9429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers49c9,711$4,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,802.8163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers49c9,700$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.2590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Rockets53c9,535$5,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,481.8220352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers49c9,474$4,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.981,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Rockets54c9,004$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.74845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked 76ers47c8,752$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.6317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Rockets53c6,584$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.774264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets53c6,297$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.7117055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets53c5,759$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.931,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 76ers47c5,514$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.6317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets51c5,437$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers49c5,277$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.5258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets51c5,086$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.0682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…8824backed 76ers48c5,044$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed 76ers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.945349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets52c4,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked 76ers47c3,905$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.366043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4395…ed91backed Rockets51c3,164$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets50c3,027$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Rockets53c3,006$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.7212850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed 76ers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41014940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41d1…d9f9backed 76ers48c2,906$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets53c2,664$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.9427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets52c2,403$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers49c2,126$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.6970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Rockets52c2,067$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.368447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked 76ers50c2,001$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7424450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers48c1,963$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.1431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Rockets51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.5457444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers47c1,800$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Rockets51c1,262$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2715753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Rockets52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed 76ers47c1,145$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed 76ers49c1,055$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8120647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Rockets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49049852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers49c992.21$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7525155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked 76ers50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers49c935.3$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.31,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets50c752.01$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Rockets51c679.42$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.927454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Rockets53c662.77$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers47c600.34$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.162,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Rockets51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.766266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 76ers3c548.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets53c524.07$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3130453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Rockets51c422.08$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Rockets53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.711050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Rockets50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets52c357.26$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4822552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Rockets53c307$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 76ers7c299.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Rockets53c292.64$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5428852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets51c285.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.11,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Rockets51c284.94$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3915650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Rockets52c281.87$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 76ers7c275$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Rockets50c260.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4310447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Rockets52c238.88$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.665040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0d0…8db8backed Rockets53c234.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.195046%23 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers46c218.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.852,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets53c217.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed 76ers49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9410457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Rockets52c197.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6310737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed 76ers50c195.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.986550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Rockets53c194.69$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.513151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Rockets53c194.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rockets51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Rockets53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1815543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Rockets53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Rockets53c171.04$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3920443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets50c168.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers47c162.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed 76ers7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Rockets53c155.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Rockets50c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Rockets52c135$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets52c124.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Rockets52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Rockets52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Rockets53c117.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2731354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…f92cbacked 76ers50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.27643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers39c109.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.893,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed 76ers49c108.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.179454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Rockets53c105.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7917852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed 76ers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Rockets51c99.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9623549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked 76ers49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4753453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Rockets53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.