NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ea691fb04c81417f0f389b81d43e5e64bc1c7df45eecbdc27503f6f85c1f07

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Rockets	44c	27,684$12,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,539.54	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x079a…61b9backed Jazz	52c	16,450$8,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,547.33	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	54cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	56c	14,965$8,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,421.5	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	51c	6,590$3,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,206.88	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	56c	6,401$3,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,595.28	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Rockets	44c	5,070$2,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,839	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x434a…b9e8backed Rockets	42c	3,650$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,117	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…0e0dbacked Rockets	42c	3,550$1,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,059	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+121.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d44…d28dbacked Rockets	42c	3,425$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	57c	3,149$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,803.4	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bd…ddb4backed Rockets	42c	3,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,740	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz	59c	2,855$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,684.45	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Rockets	52c	2,721$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.2	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x901e…89b2backed Jazz	58c	2,584$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	58c	1,999$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.27	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x513e…61dfbacked Jazz	58c	1,700$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz	14c	1,642$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.49	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f0…7438backed Jazz	58c	1,608$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04c5…8a03backed Jazz	58c	1,605$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc680…cbbcbacked Jazz	58c	1,599$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcac9…cacebacked Jazz	58c	1,585$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b27…7b21backed Jazz	58c	1,488$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8541…a0aebacked Jazz	58c	1,456$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz	57c	1,061$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.77	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Rockets	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	172	50%86 W · 86 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	47c	985.45$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.16	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz	46c	954.43$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.99	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	56c	928.58$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.63	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Jazz	12c	820$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.35	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Rockets	45c	793.37$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.46	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jazz	52c	724.17$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.1	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	56c	630.85$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.2	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz	7c	447.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Jazz	8c	402.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.73	77	26%20 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Jazz	22c	399.82$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.75	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	+16.4wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	42c	361.65$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.76	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Jazz	59c	338.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Jazz	64c	313.49$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz	59c	300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Rockets	42c	291.31$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.96	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Rockets	42c	290$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.2	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets	42c	272.97$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.32	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	43c	249.65$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.28	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Jazz	58c	233.69$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.54	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets	45c	233.33$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.33	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Jazz	52c	231$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.94	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jazz	19c	217.11$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz	57c	200$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Jazz	43c	199.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Jazz	31c	197.6$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Jazz	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockets	59c	168.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.87	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz	56c	164.14$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.92	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Rockets	52c	153$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.44	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked Jazz	20c	152.48$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Jazz	56c	151$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Jazz	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Rockets	42c	145$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.1	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz	58c	137.93$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Rockets	52c	135.21$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.7	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1815…2137backed Jazz	38c	130.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Jazz	51c	129.86$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.77	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz	56c	128.38$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.89	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets	55c	127.1$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.74	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Jazz	57c	125.44$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.33	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-10.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Jazz	57c	123.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.97	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Rockets	48c	116.26$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.86	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Jazz	59c	115.25$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Rockets	45c	109.2$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.06	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Rockets	43c	103.14$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.19	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Jazz	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	468	26.5%124 W · 344 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Rockets	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	132	65.2%86 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7894…d0eebacked Jazz	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb79…70f0backed Jazz	39c	99.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz	57c	99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.43	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Jazz	25c	94.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01bd…8357backed Rockets	46c	93.48$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.48	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-7.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets	47c	86.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.17	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz	43c	86.21$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Jazz	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Rockets	61c	81.4$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	151	49%74 W · 77 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Jazz	25c	79.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Jazz	40c	75.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Jazz	59c	72.47$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Rockets	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Rockets	61c	65.06$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.06	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8617…49e5backed Jazz	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets	43c	63.8$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.05	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	57c	62.38$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rockets	58c	61.41$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Jazz	59c	57.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.68	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Jazz	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	423	48.5%205 W · 218 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Rockets	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	47c	49.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets	50c	49.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.96	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Rockets	42c	49.52$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.72	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rockets	45c	48.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.61	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-15.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5No won
Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event