TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Rockets46c113,893$52,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,384.7332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Jazz54c42,153$22,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,779.433050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…61b9backed Jazz55c20,000$10,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,948.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-74.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Rockets46c18,286$8,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,874.6429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615f…e71abacked Jazz54c14,880$8,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,035.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c53…d737backed Jazz54c14,041$7,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,582.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Jazz54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz54c6,742$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Rockets46c6,256$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.4120945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Jazz54c6,248$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets46c6,142$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4151…de73backed Rockets46c4,888$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2e…c18abacked Rockets46c4,414$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz54c4,242$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…7890backed Rockets46c4,202$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c2…722ebacked Jazz54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1601258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0779…7907backed Jazz54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Jazz54c3,878$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.0958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…9e07backed Jazz54c3,800$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6120…25a8backed Rockets46c3,600$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f38…8b0cbacked Rockets46c3,544$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886d…d14bbacked Rockets46c3,322$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf702…7f27backed Jazz54c3,322$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e2…bcb3backed Rockets46c3,168$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc691…f271backed Jazz54c3,002$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Jazz55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fe…2f4dbacked Jazz53c2,988$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8064…5609backed Rockets47c2,969$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd98…c77cbacked Jazz54c2,937$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1d4ebacked Jazz53c2,899$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0030…1befbacked Jazz53c2,874$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcc…f53fbacked Rockets47c2,843$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d90…7685backed Jazz54c2,780$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20f…3d45backed Jazz54c2,735$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Jazz54c2,667$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530f…de9dbacked Jazz54c2,655$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Jazz54c2,650$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.491,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc93…f337backed Rockets46c2,645$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68e…00b9backed Jazz54c2,525$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Jazz54c2,462$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…e603backed Rockets46c2,456$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…d715backed Rockets46c2,456$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc6…cacabacked Rockets46c2,452$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7490…370abacked Rockets46c2,425$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets46c2,262$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…a84ebacked Rockets47c2,258$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa720…56f1backed Jazz54c2,255$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d57…061abacked Rockets46c2,222$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Jazz55c2,218$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2203268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa10…04a2backed Rockets47c2,156$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x333f…3784backed Jazz54c2,144$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7e…1f6bbacked Jazz54c2,120$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dde…4c27backed Jazz54c2,118$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…3729backed Rockets46c2,088$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cfa…c5c2backed Jazz54c1,980$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe839…1c7bbacked Jazz54c1,966$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…b0bcbacked Rockets46c1,867$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x756a…e50abacked Jazz54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c9c…2026backed Rockets46c1,748$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc7…ea8abacked Jazz54c1,676$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f51…e55fbacked Jazz53c1,646$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…843ebacked Jazz54c1,630$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Jazz53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc029…6f43backed Rockets46c1,490$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1389…73d5backed Rockets46c1,452$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5712…be60backed Jazz54c1,406$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…6ea4backed Jazz54c1,404$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Rockets46c1,335$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.1128056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1074…ee4fbacked Jazz54c1,334$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Jazz55c1,333$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rockets45c1,323$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.651,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68f7…d73dbacked Jazz54c1,312$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockets45c1,150$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.4421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz54c1,114$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f57…2ecebacked Jazz54c1,112$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Jazz55c1,111$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438f…52a6backed Rockets46c1,093$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets46c1,092$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.062,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Rockets47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8315154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Rockets47c1,055$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.363171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Jazz54c881$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Rockets46c836.29$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.613142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Rockets45c823.58$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets47c811.66$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb438…a417backed Rockets46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Jazz54c649$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets46c579.95$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Rockets47c544.57$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6216837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce11…9fa3backed Jazz54c521$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Jazz56c446.42$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Rockets47c444.36$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5110856.5%61 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Jazz54c434.72$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5417960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Jazz51c399.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.989853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Rockets44c335.2$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7140243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6363…70febacked Rockets47c333$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Rockets49c328.01$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2917042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Jazz56c298.55$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16710149.5%50 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Jazz55c281.23$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.