TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Over49c72,000$35,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,42048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c66,267$33,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,226.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c62,947$31,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,618.041,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c61,498$31,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,050.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c33,895$16,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,947.529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c24,000$12,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,239.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under50c13,366$6,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,68351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c12,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c12,316$6,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226.052,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0b…97f5backed Under51c11,982$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,110.83825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over59c10,742$6,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.5448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over48c9,264$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.4524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c8,124$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,067.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under52c7,462$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,880.118747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c6,853$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.884,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under41c6,523$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.913,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under2c4,944$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8829810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,269$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.594,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over52c2,619$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c2,057$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,596$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.2350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c1,591$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.112,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c1,313$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.61,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c700.01$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.263,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c584$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Over51c510.71$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c455.85$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2257460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over52c400.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.521,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c399.96$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.121,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over50c359.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under49c344.5$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8120154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c316.42$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over50c250.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3524147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under33c245.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over49c218.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3717545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over48c213.12$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Over50c200.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.047838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10225846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…fe6cbacked Under33c196.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.594240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c18…e0c2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c180.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c176.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Under45c166.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.855532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c159.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.481,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked Over49c154.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over46c153.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2939047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c153.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c141.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c127.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over79c126.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3321748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under41c125.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2826131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c111.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Over53c109.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.778456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under50c108.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2728147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c105.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.613,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c92.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Over50c90.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0312044.2%53 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3653945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under41c83.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2533159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…644bbacked Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407061.4%43 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under48c76.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2212227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over51c74.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over50c60.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2332743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under51c59.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7445460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…7560backed Over51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a92…9f51backed Under51c56.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under48c51.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.947851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28be…03fcbacked Over50c50.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.12360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.56735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2414…f34ebacked Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c43.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under49c41.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8211145.9%51 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Over51c40.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0820641.7%86 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea5b…6c99backed Over50c40.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.310443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.