TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Jazz, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,587,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,579,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,587,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz14c227,934$31,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,131.4448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz14c112,007$15,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,208.911,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Jazz0c100,203$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.723271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz13c78,735$9,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,886.8647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Jazz17c55,000$9,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3505139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz0c52,129$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.945838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz13c51,812$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,735.5827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz13c51,522$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,498.4736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jazz8c41,396$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,285.6951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Jazz13c40,044$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,205.715349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Jazz1c37,261$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz13c36,614$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.8228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Jazz13c31,550$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.5619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.451,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Jazz0c27,523$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz7c26,828$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.861,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Jazz13c23,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.9610035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz5c22,607$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Jazz1c21,599$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Jazz1c20,504$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28714434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz0c20,049$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.055213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Jazz14c20,010$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Jazz13c18,848$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.187035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Jazz13c18,006$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.0413543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Jazz13c17,020$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.63345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Jazz2c17,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz3c16,716$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.492,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Jazz1c15,243$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.59424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz14c15,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Jazz13c13,864$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.3313249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz2c13,694$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0728616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz14c13,096$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.411,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Jazz13c13,000$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Jazz15c12,249$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.439349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e36…5dddbacked Jazz13c11,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4302075%15 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Jazz14c10,714$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Jazz10c10,490$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz8c10,009$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed1…4a70backed Jazz0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz5c8,878$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.711,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Jazz14c8,867$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.351546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Jazz13c8,692$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13010952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz8c7,783$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Jazz13c7,614$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.8724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Jazz12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz5c6,327$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Jazz2c6,227$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.812165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz14c6,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Jazz13c5,700$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74111940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Jazz2c5,503$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12532827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz1c5,290$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Jazz1c5,159$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.484723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz1c5,051$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.511,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Jazz14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Jazz14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.996445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jazz16c4,896$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.4754246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Jazz14c4,893$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6857133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Jazz13c4,674$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.6231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jazz13c4,623$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9335251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Jazz12c4,560$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4916039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Jazz11c4,554$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.214617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz2c4,536$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Jazz13c4,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5859853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Jazz3c4,147$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Jazz13c4,116$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53238046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz1c4,030$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.768820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3564backed Jazz0c3,865$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick13cpaid+72%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Jazz13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Jazz13c3,750$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.55242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd472…cc7cbacked Jazz13c3,750$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59e…22b6backed Jazz14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz3c3,473$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Jazz15c3,272$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.819645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e39…2b41backed Jazz3c3,263$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.722711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz13c3,217$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.434,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6db…fcfcbacked Jazz13c3,099$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.871747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz13c2,850$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz13c2,700$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2540035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Jazz1c2,694$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz13c2,679$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8346940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Jazz6c2,672$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6642335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz6c2,618$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6140243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz13c2,569$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Jazz8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Jazz13c2,486$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.072343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jazz12c2,391$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Jazz13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Jazz13c2,280$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Jazz13c2,213$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3138540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Jazz14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz14c2,124$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Jazz13c2,058$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Jazz14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…ad5ebacked Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…b5febacked Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Jazz2c1,998$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417726%20 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.