NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bda59225214a48754d30e7064e852aa1cc949c75259b92a08f3e6a9a8ee67e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Grizzlies | 51c | 295,524$150,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,806.86 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Nuggets | 49c | 291,424$142,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,797.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Nuggets | 49c | 39,619$19,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,413.36 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 38c | 24,999$9,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.46 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 21,069$13,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.04 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 19,999$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.71 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 41c | 15,786$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 12,359$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Grizzlies | 57c | 11,426$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.12 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 49c | 11,250$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nuggets | 49c | 9,892$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 9,520$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.59 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Nuggets | 43c | 9,198$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.93 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Grizzlies | 62c | 5,428$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.77 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 66c | 5,364$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.99 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 4,678$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.95 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 25c | 4,223$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.68 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 61c | 4,147$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 4,019$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.56 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Nuggets | 15c | 3,968$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,192$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,701$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.59 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,413$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.69 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,381$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.16 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,062$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.52 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,062$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,062$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.52 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,057$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.12 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.04 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,777$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,758$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.9 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,649$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.66 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,584$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.01 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 1,572$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 17c | 1,519$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,350$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.37 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,204$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nuggets | 50c | 969.98$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 931.11$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 898.71$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Nuggets | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nuggets | 50c | 658.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Grizzlies | 71c | 654.7$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Nuggets | 48c | 623.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 51c | 574.6$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.55 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Nuggets | 26c | 456.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 50c | 404.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 49c | 397.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Nuggets | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 381.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Nuggets | 51c | 380.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Grizzlies | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 380.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nuggets | 30c | 380.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 353.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 50c | 326.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Grizzlies | 78c | 324.53$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Grizzlies | 80c | 305$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…82b2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets | 50c | 289.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Nuggets | 45c | 282.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Nuggets | 36c | 268.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 266.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Nuggets | 25c | 228.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Grizzlies | 52c | 204.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa655…b10cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 199.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Nuggets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Nuggets | 50c | 193.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 193.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Nuggets | 50c | 193.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 177.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Grizzlies | 61c | 160.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nuggets | 19c | 157.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nuggets | 19c | 154.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 150.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Grizzlies | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Nuggets | 50c | 145.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Nuggets | 21c | 143.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 143.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Nuggets | 50c | 139.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Nuggets | 12c | 136$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nuggets | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuggets | 23c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Grizzlies | 52c | 116.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 116.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Grizzlies | 52c | 112.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 111.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grizzlies | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 33c | 106.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.