NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0bdcb6455f1478dbfd5955a333772035250d7db5c3627de2b62604424652860

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies	50c	12,750$6,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,405.97	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets	44c	6,600$2,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.1	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd307…f4d1backed Nuggets	50c	6,600$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies	56c	4,764$2,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.67	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	49c	4,241$2,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.21	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies	74c	2,144$1,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.31	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	57c	2,125$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.1	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	43c	1,952$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.42	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies	66c	1,485$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.34	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Grizzlies	56c	879.77$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.11	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Nuggets	56c	856.54$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.01	105	59%62 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Grizzlies	55c	789.03$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.72	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Nuggets	26c	730.67$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.2	481	32.6%157 W · 324 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies	43c	703.68$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.1	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Grizzlies	57c	683.21$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.52	271	63.5%172 W · 99 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Nuggets	31c	619.56$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.07	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets	51c	554.29$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.69	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Nuggets	51c	554.29$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.69	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies	43c	512.18$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.06	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets	57c	455.5$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.7	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Nuggets	22c	428.53$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.47	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies	59c	425.99$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.14	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Nuggets	27c	414.67$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.17	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Grizzlies	47c	412$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.36	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Nuggets	46c	407.84$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.61	246	52.8%130 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies	47c	392.88$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.22	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Nuggets	50c	311.37$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.75	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Nuggets	31c	311.33$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.51	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Grizzlies	44c	303.02$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.69	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81cf…9227backed Nuggets	18c	295.66$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.29	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Grizzlies	50c	291$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.5	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets	27c	283.25$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.48	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41c1…9c76backed Grizzlies	57c	260.1$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.44	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Grizzlies	45c	231.54$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.21	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Nuggets	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	395	48.4%191 W · 204 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nuggets	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Nuggets	55c	199.51$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.73	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	56c	198.95$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.85	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies	43c	195.28$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.46	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets	57c	194.84$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.06	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Grizzlies	77c	192.36$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Nuggets	51c	190.31$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Nuggets	51c	190.31$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Nuggets	56c	176.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	169	59.8%101 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4f…9787backed Grizzlies	43c	173.99$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.17	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Nuggets	57c	170.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.42	136	55.9%76 W · 60 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Grizzlies	49c	158.97$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.45	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies	43c	152.79$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.46	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Nuggets	48c	151.42$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.66	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nuggets	17c	132.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	574	44.1%253 W · 321 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Nuggets	56c	127.66$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.06	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Nuggets	56c	127.15$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.21	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Nuggets	50c	118.13$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.77	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Nuggets	30c	110.15$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	206	50.5%104 W · 102 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Nuggets	55c	107.29$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Nuggets	48c	101.41$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.43	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Grizzlies	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…9b86backed Nuggets	50c	96.75$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Grizzlies	48c	95.91$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.87	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Nuggets	51c	95.16$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.53	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77f…6039backed Grizzlies	47c	95.06$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.71	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Nuggets	51c	94.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies	55c	92.25$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies	49c	87.16$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.15	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Nuggets	16c	86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Nuggets	57c	85.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Nuggets	25c	85.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Grizzlies	52c	83.52$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Grizzlies	49c	79.78$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.74	313	45.7%143 W · 170 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Grizzlies	46c	77.28$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.86	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nuggets	36c	72.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.06	312	38.5%120 W · 192 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Nuggets	25c	70.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.79	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Nuggets	22c	70$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x788a…bff2backed Nuggets	57c	68.36$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	36	80.6%29 W · 7 L	+4.8wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Nuggets	39c	66.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Nuggets	51c	66.61$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.97	368	52.2%192 W · 176 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Nuggets	55c	65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuggets	39c	64.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Grizzlies	47c	61.8$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.75	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Nuggets	56c	53.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Nuggets	57c	52.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Nuggets	35c	52.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Nuggets	54c	50.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.4	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Grizzlies	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Nuggets	51c	47.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Nuggets	40c	44.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Nuggets	57c	42.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Nuggets	47c	42.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nuggets	40c	41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Grizzlies	66c	40.84$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets	55c	40.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets	55c	40.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Nuggets	55c	40.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Nuggets	55c	40.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nuggets	55c	40.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets	55c	40.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Nuggets	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets	45c	38.65$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Grizzlies	48c	38.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)Grizzlies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event