MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c672e002521b2ae7bd89a9dcc47d24c70c292b5a9fb64b040c236f4dd7f9dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $748,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 351,524$147,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,640.07 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 197,376$114,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,897.98 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 98,173$56,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,232.61 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 62,243$36,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,142.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 27,510$9,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600.62 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 24,200$7,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,219.73 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 18,441$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 15,282$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.21 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 12,952$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.25 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 10,483$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 10,266$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 9,871$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.93 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…a68fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 9,500$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,873.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 8,929$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.02 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 8,419$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 7,167$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 7,155$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 6,181$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,800$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 5,245$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 5,107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 5,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 5,000$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.29 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,924$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.42 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,682$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 3,328$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 3,292$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.79 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 3,023$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 3,000$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 2,817$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.9 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,706$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.54 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…8239backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,513$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 2,315$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 2,042$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,909$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,904$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,862$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.64 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,654$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.3 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,522$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,418$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.94 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,293$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.31 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,263$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,260$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,213$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,198$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.68 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,193$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,184$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.99 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 1,120$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,005$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.95 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 955.78$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.41 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 923.71$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.72 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 919.01$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 871$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 775.42$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 742.67$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 718.39$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.73 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 687.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 685.86$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 683$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 678.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 658.23$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 653$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 650.01$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 638.96$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.09 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 629.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 601.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 599.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 564$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 551$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 549.29$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 548.57$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.74 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 522.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 519.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 513$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 510.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 495.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.37 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 493.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 481$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 421$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…14ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 415.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.