TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c61,139$31,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,054.1343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c44,827$23,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,998.091,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c25,595$13,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,541.7516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under48c20,500$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60019754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c15,877$7,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,592.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c11,102$5,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,459.2671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over48c7,563$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under54c3,875$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.3512855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under41c3,592$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.554553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over47c3,424$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.4548546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c3,349$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over47c2,705$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.3515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over46c2,409$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c2,351$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over54c2,088$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c1,941$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.731,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c1,701$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.672,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over50c1,448$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c1,334$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over50c1,280$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c1,232$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.2917550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c1,200$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,184$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.783,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under48c1,081$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.9213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over56c1,078$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c1,028$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over53c1,025$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2526640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,015$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9832051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over52c963$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.7622143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c927.72$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Under50c811.23$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.862268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under44c723.41$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.740243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1421045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under52c699.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9927246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c698.68$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.115,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Over55c660$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3638252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.923253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c573$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.671,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over50c542.06$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over69c538.96$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.411,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over50c495$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under49c483.85$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9922836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c395.83$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c393.52$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.982,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c374.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under48c357.56$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under52c336.54$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.545437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c333.18$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over56c308.26$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6329352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under28c307.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over56c306.26$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Under54c303$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.387650%38 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c287.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Under38c265.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.787652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under54c256.22$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under52c252.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.436040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c244.73$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under45c231.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c231$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c209.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.341,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c208.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.082,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Under50c200.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.48657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…ad70backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c196.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.991,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under52c194.87$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5412541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c178.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c169$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over47c150.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2521642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c143.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over55c130.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under28c123.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1138347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under44c115.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3321637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under46c111.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0622845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under48c103.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7124038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under52c102.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.288344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Under52c91.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.015038%19 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under54c87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b92…c436backed Under52c79.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.952638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.