Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc38fe1b31aa31c624ddcaefbf02b2780e0a2d92b4fc48da915bcd5ba9c2bb678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof Team WE, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $835,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf16…2266backed Team WE | 55c | 118,769$65,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,096.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 55,363$14,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,322.05 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 33,742$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.69 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Team WE | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 28,791$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.06 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 23,509$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.91 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 21,224$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,211.58 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 20,533$8,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,768.37 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE | 60c | 17,954$10,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,156.7 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 16,444$7,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,057.51 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 16,098$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.83 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team WE | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.97 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 14,721$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.94 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 14,680$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.69 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…a879backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 14,011$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.33 | 210 | 28.1%59 W · 151 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 10,948$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.49 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 10,186$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.8 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 9,184$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 8,450$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.17 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Team WE | 67c | 8,251$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.43 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team WE | 60c | 8,003$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.84 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 7,913$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…9550backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 7,555$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 7,073$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 6,913$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.22 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Team WE | 66c | 6,740$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 6,706$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 6,443$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.59 | 356 | 34.8%124 W · 232 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 6,327$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.78 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…c65bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 5,879$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.22 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 5,846$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.42 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 5,562$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.02 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…708fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 5,284$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 5,115$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Team WE | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team WE | 63c | 4,739$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.44 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 4,648$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.25 | 123 | 26%32 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…aa24backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 4,500$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 4,360$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.26 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 4,104$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.14 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 4,021$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 4,020$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.01 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…a474backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 3,976$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 3,957$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 3,891$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.93 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 3,495$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 3,431$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 3,237$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…9a09backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 3,044$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 3,015$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.68 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 2,930$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 2,852$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,826$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.34 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 2,812$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.4 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…873cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 2,782$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 2,363$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…60f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 2,273$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team WE | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.25 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 2,198$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 2,166$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.66 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 2,161$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.43 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 2,157$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 2,129$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 2,126$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.68 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,082$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 2,082$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team WE | 69c | 2,000$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.3 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,996$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 1,907$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.31 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,901$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,848$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…25a2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 1,749$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,633$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.02 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,572$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,556$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.88 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,494$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…c855backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,453$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,449$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.67 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…e8bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,423$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Team WE | 67c | 1,422$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…88f2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,421$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,411$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…38e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,377$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,375$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,320$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…039abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 1,108$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Team WE | 67c | 1,101$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.33 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…ba6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 1,080$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.32 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,066$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1this page
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Team WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.