TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a8b…039a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
268
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT12857.8%74 W · 54 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.48
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.95
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.03
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.18
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.99
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.05
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.03
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.02
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.65
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.69
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.51
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.79
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.49
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT12450.8%63 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.79
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.19
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.46
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.65
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.18
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.27
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.83
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.49
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.99
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.96
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.68
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.11
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.08
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.39
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$38.89
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$97.71
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.