NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc2c1a19025758ae6b61087774143e41813b17bb960fb4d5499b051199deb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Blues, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $926,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $926,339 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Blues | 56c | 465,022$258,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258,412.1 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flames | 48c | 138,444$66,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,004.07 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flames | 45c | 118,129$53,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,436.8 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Blues | 55c | 91,000$50,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,050 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Flames | 44c | 61,364$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,363.64 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 44c | 56,638$25,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,465.21 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 54c | 55,038$29,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,723.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Blues | 54c | 44,767$24,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,174.44 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Flames | 47c | 26,829$12,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,297.35 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Flames | 46c | 24,898$11,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,444.92 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flames | 44c | 18,888$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,577.28 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 45c | 18,198$8,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,946.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Blues | 55c | 15,802$8,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.75 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blues | 52c | 15,661$8,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,217.02 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 47c | 11,067$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.33 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 44c | 11,000$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flames | 44c | 10,530$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.63 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Flames | 45c | 9,674$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.63 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Blues | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 44c | 8,989$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blues | 45c | 7,516$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.48 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blues | 46c | 5,202$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.11 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flames | 48c | 5,011$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.53 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Blues | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flames | 54c | 4,839$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.45 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 58c | 4,105$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Flames | 49c | 4,054$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flames | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.97 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 46c | 3,244$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.56 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flames | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flames | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flames | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Blues | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 45c | 2,982$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flames | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 76c | 2,598$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.59 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.99 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Blues | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 46c | 2,347$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.19 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 46c | 2,238$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blues | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flames | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flames | 46c | 2,175$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flames | 45c | 2,135$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.98 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 45c | 2,014$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.16 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Blues | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Blues | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Blues | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.36 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 47c | 1,833$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.2 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Flames | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Flames | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Blues | 56c | 1,677$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 40c | 1,518$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flames | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Blues | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Blues | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 46c | 1,286$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.22 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Blues | 1c | 1,188$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Flames | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flames | 66c | 1,144$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Blues | 41c | 1,085$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Flames | 48c | 1,075$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.22 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues | 53c | 1,039$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.27 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Flames | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 45c | 989.5$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Blues | 52c | 974$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.49 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Blues | 54c | 927$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Blues | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blues | 53c | 902.37$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.26 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Blues | 55c | 897.46$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Flames | 72c | 876.9$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.02 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Blues | 48c | 855.55$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Flames | 54c | 818$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.28 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Flames | 52c | 809.25$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.23 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Blues | 50c | 755$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Blues | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Flames | 58c | 747.9$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Blues | 45c | 742$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flames | 47c | 741.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Blues | 54c | 741$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Flames | 46c | 712$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.48 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blues | 38c | 640$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Blues | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Flames | 59c | 634.26$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Blues | 54c | 634$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Blues | 56c | 623.21$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flames | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…dd9cbacked Blues | 54c | 586.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Blues | 38c | 578.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blues | 54c | 561.83$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Blues | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…614abacked Blues | 54c | 554$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Blues | 44c | 551$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…2747backed Blues | 54c | 539$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Flamesthis page
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.