NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640b7a07f8eb8d434d29e46b9723c6db8b4fa89a491b489edd7b92934c1c3a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Blues, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Blues | 33c | 86,583$28,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,195.84 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Flames | 67c | 40,299$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,298.51 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flames | 68c | 34,305$23,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,977.63 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flames | 67c | 6,237$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.18 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 68c | 3,474$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.8 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Blues | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 68c | 1,115$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.78 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Flames | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Blues | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Blues | 31c | 812.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 68c | 733$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.56 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 68c | 676$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Blues | 16c | 525.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Flames | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Flames | 69c | 488$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Flames | 68c | 371.19$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Flames | 69c | 324.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 68c | 269.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Blues | 33c | 247.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Blues | 23c | 212.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Blues | 30c | 167.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Flames | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 67c | 145.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Blues | 18c | 125.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Flames | 68c | 100.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 77c | 99.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blues | 21c | 89.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Flames | 71c | 79.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Blues | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Blues | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blues | 21c | 65.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Flames | 74c | 62.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Flames | 78c | 58.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 78c | 46.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Flames | 68c | 44.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Blues | 32c | 41.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Blues | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Flames | 79c | 32.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Flames | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Blues | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Blues | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Flames | 77c | 30.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Flames | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Flames | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flames | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Flames | 68c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Flames | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…a890backed Flames | 71c | 16.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flames | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. FlamesFlames won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.