NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf53811d9821dd4d663e82da9f4bff4b0d17fd0abe72bb9ce934694fe2f2112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,170 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 355,414$187,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,912.02 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 121,052$56,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,157.78 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 76,229$35,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,287.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 38,238$18,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,079.78 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 6,651$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.29 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 53c | 5,952$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bc…8536backed Under | 48c | 5,775$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 4,884$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,804$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.2 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,935$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,810$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.73 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 1,082$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.95 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 47c | 977$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 911.36$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.02 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 53c | 810.35$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.59 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 754.74$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 53c | 748.42$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 48c | 558.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 48c | 558$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 530.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.68 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 47c | 506.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 51c | 502.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 501$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 48c | 488$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Over | 54c | 465.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 48c | 448.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 53c | 441.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 63c | 341.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 335.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 294$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Under | 48c | 279$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 48c | 279$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 48c | 272.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 47c | 259.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 242$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 231.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 41c | 195$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 173.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 163.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 150.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Under | 48c | 149$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 43c | 123.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 52c | 115.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 114$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…34f3backed Under | 56c | 110.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 41c | 105.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 100.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Over | 51c | 100.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 49c | 96.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 92.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…5d53backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 33c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 51c | 73.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 48c | 65.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 53c | 64.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 53c | 56.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 55.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Over | 43c | 55.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 49c | 47.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…3bf0backed Under | 50c | 36.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 53c | 36.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 28c | 35.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 51c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 48c | 31.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 30.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 29.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…6059backed Under | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 57c | 27.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 66c | 24.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. FlamesFlames won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.