NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf7afbc54d7159d9fa6deec9c3e4943b52ab610663eee41b4db60f63a4cba0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,265 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 42c | 16,936$7,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,113.27 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 58c | 7,398$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 58c | 4,740$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.96 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 58c | 2,163$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 1,263$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.28 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 61c | 1,162$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.96 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 42c | 613$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 43c | 606.91$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 58c | 500$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 37c | 437.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 34c | 265.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 160.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 58c | 155.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 60c | 152.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 42c | 150.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 74c | 118.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 43c | 110.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 60c | 100.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 42c | 93.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 85.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 32c | 55.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 43c | 53.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Under | 58c | 42.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 33c | 42.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 66c | 36.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…34f3backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 26.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 57c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…4ae5backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. FlamesFlames won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.