TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,538,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,577,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,538,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,010 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c149,802$68,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,495.751,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over46c132,407$60,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,907.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under55c124,716$67,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,726.7612146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Under54c113,042$61,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,999.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Under54c100,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,999.852040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under55c79,420$43,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,73917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Under54c71,711$38,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,987.149247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Under53c71,132$37,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,432.1315552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under55c70,643$38,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,789.348349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over43c60,135$26,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,006.0877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over45c50,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,499.977949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over46c40,516$18,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,637.54456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over35c39,753$14,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,089.3821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under59c37,835$22,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,536.923161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c34,378$14,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,923.4759230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over43c27,588$11,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,871.47642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under54c25,694$13,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,819.981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over39c25,640$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.7714542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over41c24,665$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over45c22,291$10,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0586434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c20,397$8,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,481.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c18,043$11,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c17,811$6,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,472.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c17,500$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,05074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c16,986$7,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,404.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c14,986$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.672,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Under56c14,000$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.9510734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c11,999$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.4720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over35c11,564$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Over45c11,054$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.312050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over46c10,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over47c10,709$5,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.232,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c8,647$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.292,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over46c8,095$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.835322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under59c7,968$4,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.7620955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over46c7,954$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.1621849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over53c7,812$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.6364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over37c7,662$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.811,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under55c6,663$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.468251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over21c6,495$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Over45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9418839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under62c5,985$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.1220547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Under54c5,564$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c5,459$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.671,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under54c5,455$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.147754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.5512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over47c5,441$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.4224950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over24c5,300$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9910236.3%37 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over56c5,280$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.668835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under63c4,905$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.0513259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed Under55c4,886$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.6220146.8%94 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over41c4,538$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.5878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over47c4,468$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Under55c4,443$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.566939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc913…c637backed Over56c4,118$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.68520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-72.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over36c3,831$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.4619038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c3,830$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under50c3,785$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.327744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under55c3,702$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under57c3,450$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.552850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under64c3,409$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.217640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c3,324$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.82,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3758…e05ebacked Under55c3,091$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.911936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under79c3,016$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.361,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under68c3,005$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.083551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over46c3,000$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.131,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Over49c3,000$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.684341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over46c2,905$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.5948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over46c2,904$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.8123255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under50c2,900$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.1929030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over32c2,843$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.924917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a9…e390backed Under54c2,732$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c2,628$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.0574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under55c2,545$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.4528025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over42c2,539$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.384470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Over50c2,443$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.281926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c2,371$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.442,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c0…901dbacked Over46c2,341$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.672025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under46c2,327$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.0134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under73c2,322$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.2718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over33c2,250$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.522813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over46c2,151$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.3827655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over45c2,114$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.2918633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa5…7fdbbacked Under78c2,051$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Over43c2,022$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9614553.8%78 W · 67 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.