Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa247e7dbb06c992e3e5003b6a607a93711635887cb6789d019c771110842ddd3

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a1b…530abacked Over	59c	7,400$4,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,033.95	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under	41c	6,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under	48c	2,000$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.49	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	61c	1,678$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.88	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Under	49c	1,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	41c	1,341$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.06	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	53c	1,144$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.99	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under	38c	924.81$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.43	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	847$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.55	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	41c	732.57$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.35	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	58c	708.73$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.67	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	53c	675.54$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.86	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over	61c	665.77$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.63	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	41c	561$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.01	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under	50c	503$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.41	161	65.8%106 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Over	50c	497.45$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.85	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over	55c	494$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.51	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	53c	448.2$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.56	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	38c	400$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over	58c	386.55$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.35	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	39c	300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	42c	258.73$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.91	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	42c	238$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946f…08ebbacked Under	42c	237.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	30.6%34 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Under	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	39c	232.07$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under	40c	224.76$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.66	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	58c	213.39$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.49	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over	53c	210$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	42c	202.7$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.13	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.1	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under	8c	140.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	208	50.5%105 W · 103 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	42c	133.49$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	41c	132.77$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.44	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over	57c	110$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Over	58c	97.78$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.07	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	59c	85.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.15	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Under	43c	80.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa539…235cbacked Over	53c	79.38$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef2…f254backed Under	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27bf…f9d3backed Over	62c	64.65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.57	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.27per pick	39cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under	41c	59.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b5…f3cbbacked Over	58c	58.62$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.62	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…b5cfbacked Over	59c	52.83$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…a97ebacked Under	44c	51.81$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	187	51.9%97 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	58c	50.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.41	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04ce…278ebacked Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-42%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	186	37.6%70 W · 116 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa1…5d38backed Over	59c	32.2$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	55c	31.12$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xad86…b39ebacked Over	58c	27.59$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	58c	26.75$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Over	59c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	345	44.1%152 W · 193 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…1017backed Over	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b17…9394backed Over	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54bb…5787backed Over	58c	22.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	-8.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5this page
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event