Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118ca389544450249f407be582d1b9716bb4e8af8d64740455fe1428e5e9b3fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 7c | 36,610$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.72 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…d174backed Under | 10c | 32,133$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 14c | 6,565$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.05 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Under | 8c | 3,341$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Under | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 7c | 1,764$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 10c | 1,505$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Under | 8c | 1,192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 11c | 1,156$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 929.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 8c | 632.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…a550backed Under | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 8c | 612.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…cffdbacked Under | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7e4abacked Under | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Under | 16c | 493.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 8c | 491.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…3d12backed Under | 9c | 457.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 10c | 413.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…48b5backed Under | 8c | 374.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 363.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Under | 8c | 222.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae83…0f9dbacked Under | 10c | 221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 8c | 205.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…5ab7backed Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Under | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 182.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked Under | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…f7cebacked Under | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…eeb9backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…9e6fbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…393abacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5this page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.