Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe9409c7689330a494271bb810a2c1017aa78feb0d2828ea8ee75cbd20eaf21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 29c | 11,183$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.98 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,025$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.58 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 63c | 3,753$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 64c | 3,331$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.95 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,401$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed No | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 1,361$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 1,030$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.17 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 763.28$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 57c | 736.32$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.21 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Yes | 17c | 729.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 60c | 711.17$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.65 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 15c | 674.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 18c | 558.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 73c | 476.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed No | 76c | 424.44$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 362.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 76c | 355.21$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 58c | 297.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 39c | 257.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 257.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 73c | 221.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 210.53$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 24c | 199.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 199.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked No | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 79c | 187.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 178.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 63c | 172.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 168.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed No | 61c | 164.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 164.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 152.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 39c | 130.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 20c | 125.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 37c | 111.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed No | 80c | 90.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 58c | 81.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked No | 79c | 63.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 33c | 52.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…5ba8backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 28c | 45.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed No | 66c | 45.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed No | 78c | 38.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 59c | 23.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed No | 80c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.