Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6060002db756d340e11345c9a7965d3d79bfa082f552ff87f25cc34fc65907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 24c | 3,859$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.91 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 3,427$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.3 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,344$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.36 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 1,131$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 773.19$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 46c | 450$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…5ea3backed Over | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 336.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 332.53$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 332.32$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 6c | 324.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Under | 65c | 285.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 76c | 232.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 76c | 192.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 11c | 192.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 24c | 161.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 141.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Under | 77c | 108.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…19a9backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 35c | 86.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…bd7ebacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 76c | 76.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…ff0fbacked Over | 25c | 71.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…2fa0backed Over | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under | 77c | 62.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 23c | 57.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…3e68backed Over | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 27.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…d6c1backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 345 | 44.1%152 W · 193 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…1017backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 76c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5this page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.