TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,272 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over1c57,289$763 inLost-$763.044,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcb…6d5bbacked Over5c23,412$1,201 inLost-$1,201.01540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+235.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over4c7,004$246 inLost-$246.072,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over3c6,414$217 inLost-$21771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over3c2,893$95 inLost-$95.1714612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b18…68b5backed Over5c1,954$95 inLost-$94.67650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c956.7$33 inLost-$33.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over5c711.46$35 inLost-$359622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c635.49$21 inLost-$21.032,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over5c589$28 inLost-$27.6859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over5c510.31$25 inLost-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…4a19backed Over4c501.64$20 inLost-$20.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over4c320.25$13 inLost-$12.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over5c313.17$16 inLost-$166619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…59acbacked Over5c307.92$14 inLost-$14.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over4c300$12 inLost-$12.4546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over5c253.69$12 inLost-$1243819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.