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Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c61,807$31,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,517.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes46c48,000$22,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,079.9421029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c30,426$15,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,014.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes49c20,353$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No51c16,679$8,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,172.8818738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No51c16,320$8,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,996.820333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No51c15,999$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,839.7129646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c13,889$6,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,818.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No51c12,924$6,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,269.9320448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes48c12,721$6,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,106.0721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c12,020$5,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,890.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed No53c9,498$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.631644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes52c9,430$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,94010562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes40c8,586$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.492,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c6,342$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c6,188$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.21,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked No52c5,717$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Yes50c5,114$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.8212958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9329250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed No54c4,603$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.5821442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes43c4,291$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.075248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…9352backed No51c4,200$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.842850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Yes49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7155550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No48c2,903$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf6…00a1backed Yes77c2,736$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.012441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No52c2,713$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.099463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Yes27c2,285$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.685653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No52c2,163$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.3211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed No25c2,160$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62017751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.666563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes49c2,002$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.934852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9916647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No50c1,986$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.847648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7467447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e1…8c5bbacked Yes50c1,959$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Yes54c1,948$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.298158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes52c1,845$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.2524917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No51c1,771$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.691,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c1,638$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No51c1,524$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.7220044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007263.9%46 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked No50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes46c1,271$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2140343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes42c1,126$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.281,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No50c1,105$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9230950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8235036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed No38c1,056$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.178933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…12afbacked No48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9979…b7ffbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506258.1%36 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Yes67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.996261.3%38 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c978.32$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.091,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes50c934$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.2565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes50c922.58$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2912532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8461…d383backed Yes49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Yes67c777.27$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.772268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes68c764.85$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9624749.8%123 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes49c761$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.892,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef43…e8d0backed Yes66c757.73$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes49c755.1$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705334%18 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes55c720$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.613951.8%72 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes47c682.29$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6642…eea1backed Yes66c657.82$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes49c609.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2739…fd7cbacked No55c605.45$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.459135.2%32 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed No52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No51c569$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8115648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa92e…48b7backed Yes22c559.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked No65c531.58$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.692751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5098…48debacked No60c516.67$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…3fb4backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23511674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes48c457.74$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4606…7f19backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.515044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1600…952fbacked Yes73c415.61$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845a…f3e8backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes49c407$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4314738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Yes49c406.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998941.6%37 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes45c403.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.532,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920f…10d5backed No53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3612245.1%55 W · 67 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb3…5affbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes61c354.7$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6922731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes39c352.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5534964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.