Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99d800c03fff5a20823f3d301ba2ebf5b9248bfab9746fccdd50ef4d5296eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 2,678$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.88 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 52c | 1,337$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,315$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 655.83$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 56c | 530.06$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 318.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…fbb5backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 52c | 189$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…4bd4backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…5046backed Over | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 136.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 119.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 52c | 77.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…8a6cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…5885backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 54.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Over | 53c | 52.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 28c | 50.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 54c | 46.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…5a05backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…5787backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Over | 52c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.