TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,059 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c84…ac9abacked Under56c1,500$840 inWon+$659.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over43c1,190$516 inLost-$515.852,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over43c1,171$505 inLost-$504.752,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under58c923.64$534 inWon+$389.336246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…7b64backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+94.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under56c685$384 inWon+$301.16253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c666.91$287 inLost-$287.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Over10c560$56 inLost-$563067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over10c450$45 inLost-$4519838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over10c450$45 inLost-$4519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over10c450$45 inLost-$4519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2db2…7387backed Over10c350$35 inLost-$35368.3%3 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under54c222.22$120 inWon+$102.222254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under61c153$93 inWon+$60.1810849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c131.78$14 inLost-$14.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under56c101.79$57 inWon+$44.792470.8%17 W · 7 L+6.6wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over43c60$26 inLost-$25.837348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under67c50.38$34 inWon+$16.8635954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over27c39.92$11 inLost-$10.7835619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under72c39.62$28 inWon+$11.23956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under73c20.74$15 inWon+$5.512,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.